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Former RBNZ Assistant Governor & Chief Economist, John McDermott, who was at the IMF, Yale-trained, Director of Motu & winner of the NZIER Economist Award, has slammed the RBNZ's monetary policy, blaming it for the inflation mess we're in. We already knew as much, but to have it confirmed by John is a big deal. Today in the NBR he states:


"We know that in the long run, excessive money-supply growth causes inflation and that the monetary base is under the control of the Reserve Bank. So why is the Reserve Bank allowing its monetary base to expand long after the emergency Covid settings are no longer needed?


.... It makes for sobering reading when you compare NZ’s monetary experience with that of Norway, a country with a similar population and an identical monetary policy regime ... The assessment that emergency monetary settings were no longer needed seems to have been made early in Norway. By the end of 2020, its monetary base was back at a normal level. The result was that the Norges Bank kept inflation under better control than the RBNZ".


The above graph shows NZ's out-of-control money supply compared to Norway's in-control money supply.


Sources:

https://www.nbr.co.nz/economy-matters/-29/


The Johns Hopkins data on daily new cases and deaths from Covid are striking. Lets compare NZ with the World, since obviously comparing us with any particular country can lead to one trying to bias the "narrative".


The graphs below show that over ten times more people per million are catching Covid in NZ right now than in the rest of the world (960 per million in NZ compared with 70 per million in the rest of the world).


Meanwhile Kiwis are dying of Covid at a rate ten times higher compared to the rest of the world (2 per million in NZ compared with 0.17 per million in the rest of the world).



Sources:

https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&uniformYAxis=0&hideControls=true&Metric=Cases+and+deaths&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=NZL~OWID_WRL


 

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